Over the last couple of weeks, I have presented at several private meetings for investors and urged them to think outside the mainstream. No obligation and lengthy sales pitch. With each session triggering a flood of requests for additional meetings. Some people just resist change. Diversification with alternative strategies that deliver double digit returns at bond…
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The bear is talking again
Predictions are hard especially about the future but if you are in our lively show business, what can you do as one of the top strategists? In another report that crossed my desk, Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson sees stocks nearly flat in 2024. Not exactly what the bulls are looking for, I know. If you…
World economy to perform better than expected in 2024
I know some people don’t like the the yearly market outlook pieces everyone puts out, but at the very least it gives you consensus perspectives on what market participants expect ahead. If you are looking for some positive yearly outlook pieces from Wall Street, this article from CNBC should brighten up your day hopefully. Yeah,…
Music to the doves’ ears
What did I tell you? Inflation has settled substantially from a 40-year high reached last year. In what was clearly a shock to the bears, the latest US inflation data essentially wiped out the chance of another rate hike. It will also end the discussion about rates staying higher for longer. Traders pulled forward bets…
How long will the market be irrational?
Another regular energy trading report hit my trading desk. It was a difficult month for one of the manager’s positions as long term bullish fundamentals finally gave way to the shorter term headwinds of seasonal weakness, warm weather, and over-extended refinery margins. Here is a section: I’m reminded of a quote from a mentor of…
Weekly breakfast
Is the party over? US stocks gave a mixed performance last week following hawkish comments from central bank policymakers. After enjoying its longest winning streak in two years, the S&P 500 slumped after Fed’s Powell said the central bank was not confident it had done enough to rein in inflation. A tech-driven rally on Friday…
The seven levels of consciousness
In his 1963 book “The Science of Existence and the Art of Living”, His Holiness Maharishi Mahesh Yogi states that through the practice of Transcendental Meditation (TM) techniques, over time, the conscious mind becomes familiar with the deeper levels of the mind and the subconscious mind becomes familiar with it naturally. He said he would…
Happy Diwali
It’s going to be a long Diwali weekend in this part of the world and I would like to wish you and your loved ones a Diwali filled with joy, light, and prosperity. May this festival bring warmth and togetherness to your home. Diwali, also known as Deepavali, is a significant Hindu festival celebrated by…
The fun continues
Jerome Powell and his merry band of accomplices move markets whenever they speak. Stocks are up and bond yields are down whenever they signal that the most powerful central bank in the world will not raise interest rates and may even lower them. The market is down and yields up on any hints that the…
Making elephants fly
Despite the doom and gloom narrative, what is happening on the ground may be a little different. China continues to offer significant investment opportunities especially for stock pickers as well as high volatility but the decision to invest should be based on individual preferences, risk tolerance, and specific financial goals. A macro manager report landed…