With or without Trump, markets remain inherently probabilistic. The future has never signed a contract with anyone. All we can do is think in scenarios, assign odds, and position ourselves accordingly.
In this webinar, I will walk through the most likely paths forward and attach rough probability weightings to each. As for my own positioning, nothing has changed. No dramatic reshuffling. No emotional “panic pivot.”
During a catch-up with a couple of investors over the weekend, they kindly reminded me with more excitement than I would personally express that I have been correctly bullish on bets on my radar. One of them has been preparing for an imminent crash since early last year. Another was convinced in 2022 that technology was headed for extinction.
I also told them that not everything has unfolded exactly as I expected. The massive parabolic rally in precious metals has surprised me. The weakness in the US dollar caught me off guard as well. I had been looking for a period of consolidation rather than this degree of softness. That said, I’m not panicking about the dollar.
If you are one of our investors reading this and would like to be notified on future meetings, you can send me an email to reserve your spot. With a truly global base, there is no one time that is suitable for everyone. I do find the 7pm (SGT/MYT) time works best for me and gels with a suitable time for the majority of my investors and partners.
I look forward to meeting you, and thank you for supporting my work.